MASTER PLAN BITCOIN - QUANT ALGO - ICT - WYCKOFF - ELLIOTT - ORDERFLOW - ML - RISK PARITY

"Η ΑΓΟΡΑ ΕΙΝΑΙ ΕΝΑ ΣΥΝΘΕΤΟ ΠΡΟΣΑΡΜΟΣΤΙΚΟ ΣΥΣΤΗΜΑ - ΕΠΙΒΙΩΝΕΙ Ο ΕΥΚΑΜΠΤΟΣ, ΟΧΙ Ο ΣΙΓΟΥΡΟΣ"

1. MACRO FRAMEWORK
  • M2 Global Liquidity
  • DXY (Inverse)
  • US10Y Real Yield
  • BTC Dominance
  • Fear & Greed Index
  • ETF Flows (Spot)
  • CVD (24h)
  • Hashrate
2. MARKET REGIME DETECTION (HMM / ML)
RegimeProbability
BULL TREND0.28
ACCUMULATION0.21
DISTRIBUTION0.17
BEAR TREND0.24
HIGH VOLATILITY0.10
3. TOP-DOWN TIMEFRAME ALIGNMENT
TFTrendStructureMomentum
1W↑HH/HL
1D↑BoSL
4H↑HiS
1H↑LHL
15m↑LHL
5m↑LH/LL
4. ELLIOTT WAVE COUNT (1W)
5. WYCKOFF SCHEMATIC
6. BITCOIN / TETHERUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT - 15m - BINANCE    O 67,842.1 H 68,512.0 L 66,987.5 C 67,210.3
CVD (CUMULATIVE VOLUME DELTA)
11. MULTI INDICATOR CONFLUENCE
INDICATORTFSIGNALSTRENGTH
EMA 20/50/2001DBULLISH0.78
Ichimoku1DBULLISH0.72
RSI (14)1DNEUTRAL0.54
Stochastic1DNEUTRAL0.51
MACD (12,26,9)1DBULLISH0.67
DMI (14)1DBULLISH0.63
BB (20,2)1DNEUTRAL0.49
ATR (14)1DVOLATILE0.71
OBV1DBULLISH0.66
Volume1DBULLISH0.70
12. OSCILLATORS
RSI (14)
MACD (12,26,9)
Stoch (14,3,3)
13. MACHINE LEARNING MODELS
MODELPREDICTIONCONFIDENCE
LSTM (Price)↑71.2%
XGBoost (Direction)↑68.7%
Random Forest↑65.4%
Prophet (Trend)↑72.9%
GPT Sentiment↑63.1%
ENSEMBLE SIGNAL: STRONG BUY
7. ORDERFLOW (DOM)
BIDBID SIZEASK SIZEASK
67,215.012.411.867,215.5
67,214.518.79.667,216.0
67,214.025.114.267,216.5
67,213.531.622.767,217.0
67,213.045.333.867,217.5
Δ IMBALANCE: 18% VWAP: 67,198.7
8. LIQUIDITY MAP (HEATMAP) 1D 1W 1M
9. FUNDING / LIQUIDATIONS
Funding Rate (8h)0.0102%
Long Liq. (24h)$24.7M
Short Liq. (24h)$31.2M
10. STRATEGY ENGINE (ALGO)
FEAR & GREED INDEX
74
GREED
  • ETF Inflows: +$378M
  • Binance Reserves: ↓
  • Whale Activity: ↑
  • Social Volume: ↑↑
  • News Sentiment: POSITIVE
Overall Sentiment: BULLISH
15. PORTFOLIO RISK MANAGEMENT
METRICVALUESTATUS
Portfolio Risk1.82%✓
VaR (95%)2.35%✓
Max Drawdown8.17%⚠
Sharpe Ratio1.92✓
Calmar Ratio3.48✓
Kelly Criterion2.31%✓
Correlation BTC/ETH0.78⚠
16. POSITION SIZING CALCULATOR
Account Equity ($)
Risk per Trade (%)
Entry Price ($)
Stop Loss ($)
Position Size (USDT)$1,237
0.0188
17. SCENARIO ANALYSIS
SCENARIOPROB.TARGETR/R
BULL CASE55%78,5002.45
BASE CASE30%69,8001.30
BEAR CASE15%58,4000.64
EXPECTANCY: +1.47R
18. EXECUTION PLAN
1. Επιβεβαίωση Regime
2. Confluence Check
3. Liquidity Sweep
4. Orderflow Entry
5. Risk Management
6. Scaling Out Plan
7. Review & Journal
19. JOURNAL / PERFORMANCE
Win Rate62.4%
Profit Factor2.18
Total Trades142
Net Profit18.7%
Avg Win3.21%
Avg Loss-1.47%